Tuesday, November 17, 2020

C19 Lies, Damned Lies, and Police-State Psychobabble

Roy: YES. The "spike" is indeed OVER. I'm sorry you're not seeing it.

I'm answering your specific complaints here because the same "factoids" keep getting thrown at me as if half the population is reading from the same script. I'm just going to keep my thoughts here so I can phone in future discussions. It's not worth my time debating this with anyone who believes any or all of the following are justified in any way:

1) placing individuals under house arrest;

2) mandatory needles which will be followed by claims the vaccine(s) "saved us all";

3) bankrupting business owners;

4) raising suicide and alcohol/drug abuse rates;

5) putting people out of work and telling them they're "non-essential"

6) interfering with **ANY** right that is supposedly protected by the Bill of Rights, PARTICULARLY the right of peaceful assembly, religion, and speech;

7) being rabidly pro-police state on the covid response;

8) casting blame on Trump, "Republicans", or "Libertarians" for the progression of the virus;

9) thinking that Biden's approach will be better;

10) believing crashing the economy in order to ruin Trump's election chances wasn't the intent behind the Democrats' public policy response;

11) believing there is actually any Constitutional authority given to ANY president to "manage" health care policy at any level at any time...

12) idiotic mask mandates (which Biden has promised from a federal level at the beginning of his term, assuming he is certified) which are based on fraudulent and/or outdate data...

Sorry. This is a bunch of hyped-up horseshit.

I want to point out that almost all of the hysteria about covid is based on incredibly bad math.

Let's take just one state, for example. Michigan, since that detestable police-statist governor is threatening to kill people for running their businesses. Michigan's big month for Covid was April, just like Virginia and every other state. The October bump was relatively minor in comparison.

There are always freezers full of bodies in major metropolitan hospitals. New York is ALWAYS overloaded -- especially during flu seasons.
Before whining about "hospitals being overloaded", maybe there should be some thought given to WHY they are "overloaded": They're all in multiple, expensive-to-comply-with regulatory straightjackets -- set up by the same people now ruining society in the name of "flattening the curve to keep from overwhelming the hospitals". Just getting permits to build a new hospital often takes YEARS of wrangling with bureaucrats -- which costs providers many millions of dollars before a new hospital can even open its doors.

There's a word for this, and that word is "insanity".

The real solution for creating overflow hospital capacity is obvious: Remove the power of government to "permit" anything at all. No government should have the power to a) regulate property acquisition, b) safe demolition of old buildings, c) restrict any new construction, or d) regulate any business on that property that the owner sees fit to set up.

Of course, that solution is the only one no one can be bothered to implement.

About 1% of Americans die every year -- around 3,000,000. That figure varies year over year for various reasons. Here's an interesting chart showing the general trends in graph form. Here's another version.

I expect that number will gradually rise over time as more and more baby boomers start checking out in their 70s.

This analysis suggests there will be about 270,000 deaths this year in which Covid will be a factor.

Interestingly, the change in the overall death rate from all causes in 2020 so far has been lower than in previous years. The anomaly was so pronouced over the summer that scientists even named it. This article puts it in graph form, and it and the comments in response discuss how significant the changes in the death rate for 2020 may be once population changes are taken into consideration.

Medical errors

We all know medical errors causes a substantial portion of the million or so deaths every year. Remember the panic about "not enough ventilators!!"?

Well, it turned out that ventilators were way, waaaaayyyyy over-used and their over-use and -- more importantly, their improper use by "medical professionals" may have caused many thousands of those "covid" deaths.

What about that?

Look at the change in treatment protocol between April and May during the peak of the first wave. Now the treatment protocol includes remdesivir and one or two other drugs, Vitamin D and Zinc supplements, and TURNING THE FUCKING PATIENT OVER so they can cough out the crap in their lungs with the help of gravity.

I'll give you medical errors. Those early treatment protocols were medical errors writ large.

What is happening with the seasonal flu numbers is statistically and scientifically IMPOSSIBLE. This weirdness is right there on the CDC website.

Question: Democrats, leftists, libertarians, and such all used to claim to be in favor of "Right to Try" laws that allowed people to try off-label treatments under the supervision of their doctor. But as soon as hydroxychloroquine became an idea that some people -- mostly on the right -- wanted to try, those same individuals became decidedly statist and prohibitionist. What in hell is that about?

Question: Why has flu practically disappeared, anyway?

Question: Why would anyone with a basic knowledge of math and access to US demographics take the fact that more women than men have died from covid as some sort of indictment against health care... and then assume it's the result of either a) having a virus that unnaturally targets females or b) having a health care system that doesn't care about women?

Because...

1) The life expectancy of women is ~ 5 years longer than men ("For males, life expectancy changed from 76.1 in 2017 to 76.2 in 2018 — an increase of 0.1 year. For females, life expectancy increased 0.1 year from 81.1 years in 2017 to 81.2 in 2018."). Which means, over time, there are going to be more women than men left alive into their late seventies, eighties, and beyond.

2) Covid attacks the elderly. More women than men are elderly. Ergo, there are more women still around who are at risk of catching covid and dying.

Now with all due respect, if you genuinely want a conversation, then discard the script and please read through every last one of the links above. Read them thoroughly, and consider what they present before you respond. At this point I am unlikely to respond further, but if you want a conversation, until you have some doubts about what the medical-political-industrial-complex has been telling you, then you're not thinking enough, as the song goes.

I've been positively bombarded by the mainstream narrative. I understand it. I've read their position, and understood their position. I acknowledge certain facts about this and other virii. I acknowledge the danger it poses, esepcially to the elderly.

But I disagree entirely with the solutions that are presented as part of the "new police state normal"; I disagree with the government policy response, and yes I damned well do believe that the policy response was entirely a political weapon used by an entire class of people (The Cathedral, TDSers, all other Trump haters, the Left in general, Democrats, political elitists, etc) against another class of people (Republicans, Trump and supporters, business owners, Libertarians, blue-collar workers, southerners, suburbanites, exurbanites, etc).

I am an unwilling participant in this "new normal" police state. My "compliance" is forced.

The political class and The Cathedral are lying. They always lie. They have always lied in the past. They will never stop lying.

Saturday, August 08, 2020

Montoni For Mesa County - Survey Answers for CRV

Colorado Candidates: I don't know how many of you are answering candidate questionnaires from groups that typically oppose Libertarian or non-government solutions, but I answered the rather long survey from Colorado Rural Voters.

My answers were rather long, too --there wasn't a text limit in the entry boxes, and I saw no notice that they preferred <100 words until I got to the confirmation screen.

Oh, well.

In any case, Colorado Rural Voters would be better named "Colorado Gimme Your Money and Rights Voters" -- look at their wish list on their main page.

Some of those wishes might sound good upon first blush to Libertarians.  But the tyrannical reality is how they want to implement them.

Anyway, most of my answers on their survey questions were copypasta from things I'd written earlier (in one case I copied something I wrote in 1999).  While some would quip that only proves I'm a closed-minded jerk, what I believe it means is that the takers are making the same arguments and coveting the same rights and property in 2020 as they were in 1999.

And in 1899.

Here is the actual survey.

Jeriel Clark is the contact person for this thing.  I have not looked into who funds this "nonpartisan" group (nonpartisan my ass).   If I remember correctly, before this she was a paid staffer for another group that was trying to saddle up the taxpayers of Grand Junction and every other municipality in Mesa (including the county itself) and take them for a sweaty ride on a massive debt load for a city-owned gym/fitness/pool/recreation center.   It is my fading memory that she was the person who came before the Mesa Libertarians and did a presentation for the gym.

I'm in the wrong business.  It apparently pays to be a leftist activist.

But getting on with the story, here is how I answered their survey:

Sunday, January 12, 2020

The Iran-US Window is OPEN -- for a Few Hours

Every so often in history, there is a moment where nations can tremendously alter long-established relationships with other nations.

The assassination of Iranian hit man Qassem Soleimani has -- despite initial expectations -- become that very moment.

Iran, which has absolutely nothing to gain from open war with the US, wisely lobbed a volley of missiles in the vicinity US troops.  Not *at* the troops, but in their vicinity.

This was a public-relations master stroke on the part of the Iranians.  It gave them cover with their own war hawks ("see, we did *something*") and sent the message that they had the capability to hit us if they so desired BUT DIDN'T, and it made the next aggressive move by the US far more difficult for the world to accept.

Then, they made a serious mistake in accidentally shooting down an airliner full of innocents.

The next few hours are an opening for another master stroke, this time by President Trump, if he only grabs it.  All he has to do is get up to the podium and propose a reconciliation:

Look, we have our differences with Iran.  But the tragic loss of so many innocents on board Ukrainian Airlines Flight 752 offers Iranians and Americans alike the possibility of taking this in a different direction.

First, I wish to apologize to the Iraqi people for the killing of Iraqi officials who were in the vicinity of our attack on Qassem Soleimani.  We will study ways to more tightly target those who have committed atrocities, so that there is less chance of injury or death to those who should not pay the price for the sins of others.

Second, we are taking other measures also, that hopefully will allow our people to finally stop fighting each other.

I have ordered the full withdrawal of American forces from all of southern Iraq, and the dismantling and removal of all of our bases.  There will remain a few soldiers as requested by the Kurdish government, but otherwise, the request of the Iraqi government will be honored.

Third, I am offering a complete end to all US-government sanctions on Iran, if the Iranian government will likewise de-escalate their activities against Americans and citizens of other nations:

-- Full normalization of relations between the US and Iran, and the reintroduction of embassies and consulates on each others' soil -- with full protection of our respective personnel.

-- Immediately release and end prosecution of any and all prisoners -- American or otherwise -- who have not committed any crimes of violence against any other individuals, and aggressively protect the rights of foreign visitors in Iran.

-- Repeal all barriers to trade with American citizens.

-- End all state harassment of religious and ethnic minorities and missionaries.

-- Cooperate with efforts to clear Arabian Sea and other regional waters of mines and sunken ships.

-- Cooperate with international police agencies to bring violent criminals to justice, wherever they may be found.

No Iranian should regard any American as an enemy.  And no American should regard an Iranian as an enemy.  The natural condition of people is to be friends and to do business with one another.  It is time to let the quarrels of the past go.  I am willing to try.  If I fail, my successor will probably not extend this olive branch.  There are many in both the United States and Iran, as well as in other countries, who profit handsomely from continued hostility between America and Iran.  You and I have an opportunity to tell them "no!".

What say you, President Khamenei?  The tragic loss of those on Flight 752 -- because of the fog of war -- has us staring into the abyss.  Will Iran and American step back from the edge and once again become the friends we always should have been?

It's worth a try.  And it could only succeed while the Iranian government is reeling from the blowback from their own mistake.  That blowback will not last.

Unfortunately, it is likely neither Trump nor anyone else in the US government, including all of the Mickey Mouse Democrats who are only anti-war when it's not their gorilla in the hot seat, have the spine to do any such thing.

So as soon as the Iranians have the blowback under control, the window will close, the opportunity will be gone, and escalation will likely continue.

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Vote Libertarian * 800-ELECT-US * http://www.LP.org
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Written by Marc Montoni <AMCAmbassador@gmail.com>, November, 2019.  This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

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For more information about the Radical Caucus, see www.LPRadicalCaucus.org or see the Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/2497146127/  .
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